2月23日，国家统计局公布2024年1月份70个大中城市商品住宅销售价格变动情况。数据显示，56个城市新房价格环比下降、68个城市二手住宅销售价格环比下降，比上月分别减少6个和2个。

值得注意的是，上海新房价格涨幅0.4%，居70城首位；西安、成都、上海同比涨幅排名前三，涨幅均超过4%。二手房价格仅昆明、三亚两个城市环比微弱上涨，70城二手房价格指数同比全线下行。

国家统计局城市司统计师王中华解读数据时指出，1月份70城新房价格环比下降城市个数减少，环比降幅整体收窄、同比整体延续降势。

易居研究院研究总监严跃进分析认为：“当前房价指数出现积极信号，房价上涨城市数量变多，充分说明2023年房价总体调整到位，2024年房价将从‘疲软’进入‘坚挺向好’态势。各地市场的一个堵点在于，认为房价还在下跌，所以再等等。而当前房价上涨城市数量增多，将进一步引导市场预期，真正促进市场供求两端预期向好和交易活跃。”

//  两大一线城市新房价格同比上涨 //

1月份，新房价格环比涨幅最大的5个城市分别为：上海、吉林、无锡、泉州和长春；在同比上涨的17个城市中，一线城市仅上海、北京位列其中。与此同时，深圳新房价格同比跌幅达到4.1%，成为跌幅第三的城市。

具体来看，1月份一线城市新建商品住宅销售价格环比下降0.3%，降幅比上月收窄0.1个百分点。其中，北京、广州和深圳分别下降0.1%、0.8%和0.7%，上海上涨0.4%。同比来看，北京和上海分别上涨1.3%和4.2%，广州和深圳分别下降3.6%和4.1%。

二线城市新房价格环比下降0.4%，降幅与上月相同，同比由上月上涨0.1%转为下降0.4%。三线城市环比下降0.4%，降幅比上月收窄0.1个百分点，同比下降2.1%，降幅比上月扩大0.3个百分点。

1月份共有11个城市新房价格环比出现上涨，3个城市持平，下跌城市减少到56个。严跃进认为，“1月份房价上涨的城市数量开始增加，这也是近11个月来首次出现房价上涨的城市数量增加。”

“上海继续成为房价最坚挺的城市，这和城市基本面较好是有关系的。部分城市如吉林和长春房价涨幅也比较大，说明此类城市也在积累潜在需求。而类似泉州，过去房价调整是比较充分的，当前也出现了涨幅略大的情况。”严跃进指出。

//  二手住宅现企稳迹象 //

二手住宅方面，70个大中城市中仅昆明和三亚两座城市与上月相比上涨，分别上涨0.3%和0.2%。下降较多的城市有杭州、广州下降1.2%，合肥、厦门、海口、九江、洛阳下降1.1%，武汉、重庆、秦皇岛、金华、济宁、平顶山、湛江、惠州下降1.0%。

对于当前房地产市场形势，中原地产首席分析师张大伟认为，新建商品住宅和二手住宅环比下降的城市均比上月减少，表明市场出现了一定的企稳迹象。增信心、防风险、促转型依然是房地产市场面临的重要任务，降低购房门槛和成本仍是各方聚焦点。目前市场分化仍较为明显，随着各项调控政策逐步落地见效，一些城市有望持续企稳。但还有很多城市仍处调整期，还在逐步见底过程中。

近日，央行降低5年期以上贷款市场报价利率。此次降低中长期贷款利率，对房地产市场供需两端均有积极意义。贝壳研究院认为，供给端，房企融资成本降低，有利于新房项目的投资开工和交付，满足改善客群对于新房的购买需求。需求端，低首付、低利率的信贷环境下居民购房门槛降低、月供压力减轻，将持续促进刚需和改善性住房需求的释放，有利于市场交易的平稳修复。供需两端政策的持续发力将推动修复新房和二手房市场的良性循环，促进房地产市场平稳健康发展。

//  融资“白名单”加速落地 //

近日，湖北省第一批221个房地产项目“白名单”出炉，总体融资需求约712亿元。安徽省已推送首批“白名单”项目26个，湖南省首批房地产项目“白名单”共纳入566个，当前已有24个项目获得银行新增融资16.48亿元。

多地房地产项目“白名单”出炉之时，绿地集团、旭辉集团、世茂集团、碧桂园等多家规模房企也密集公布了旗下项目入围“白名单”情况。例如，旭辉集团有18个项目入选融资“白名单”。记者从中南集团方面了解到，公司旗下已有南通市、青岛市等地的多个项目被纳入首批融资支持“白名单”。

另据住建部官网最新信息，截至2月20日，全国29个省份、214个城市已建立房地产融资协调机制，分批提出可以给予融资支持的房地产项目“白名单”并推送给商业银行，共涉及5349个项目；已有57个城市162个项目获得银行融资共294.3亿元，较龙年春节假期前增加113亿元。

“各地第一批项目申报逐渐落地，意味着房地产融资支持政策取得了实质性推进，有利于稳定预期、稳定市场。”中指研究院方面分析认为，“需求端和企业端政策协同发力，叠加‘三大工程’（规划建设保障性住房、城中村改造和‘平急两用’公共基础设施建设）配套政策加速落位，有望推动房地产市场逐渐企稳。”

//  多地公积金政策再加码 //

开年以来已有多地推出公积金新政，满足居民合理住房消费需求。一些热点城市、省会城市，首套房公积金贷款最低首付比例已达规定下限。

2月21日，济南住房公积金中心发布通知，调整个人住房公积金贷款首付款比例：在济南市行政区域内购买首套普通自住住房申请住房公积金贷款的，最低首付款比例调整为不低于20%；购买第二套普通自住住房申请住房公积金贷款的，最低首付款比例调整为不低于30%。

2月19日，海南省住房公积金管理局印发通知，对于缴存人家庭(包括借款申请人、配偶及未成年子女)贷款购买新建自住住房，属首套住房公积金个人住房贷款的，最低首付比例由25%调整为20%。购买新建自住住房二套住房公积金贷款最低首付比例为30%，维持不变。

2月18日，天津市住房公积金管理中心公布《关于调整个人住房公积金贷款首付款比例的通知(征求意见稿)》：职工申请个人住房公积金贷款购买家庭首套住房的，应支付不低于住房交易价格20%的首付款；购买家庭第二套住房的，应支付不低于住房交易价格30%的首付款。

值得注意的是，20%的首套房首付比例和30%的二套房首付比例已经是当前的最低标准。

近段时间以来还有上海、河南洛阳、福建漳州等多地对公积金贷款政策进行优化调整，除了对首付比例的调整，还涉及延长贷款期限、提高贷款限额、扩大使用范围等。

2月21日，辽宁沈阳也对住房公积金提取和贷款政策进行优化，取消职工现金购买自住住房须在购房两年内申请提取住房公积金的时间限制，还将购买二手房公积金贷款期限，由“35年减房龄”延长为“40年减房龄”。

诸葛数据研究中心高级分析师关荣雪认为，多地密集出台公积金新政旨在继续创造宽松的购房政策环境，促进购房需求释放，提升楼市活跃度。

“个别城市将此前阶段性政策调整为常规政策也在一定程度上反映出政策放松仍在持续，优化调整公积金政策仍为主要手段，持续的或者长期的支持不仅有助于购房需求的稳定释放，也有助于市场信心的逐步恢复。”关荣雪说。

//  中梁控股11.8亿美元债重组获批 //

2月23日晚间，中梁控股（02772.HK）发布公告宣布，公司寻求法院批准有关境外债务重组计划的申请于当日进行聆讯，法院已批准该计划，计划生效日期也于当日落实。

据中梁控股此前披露的信息，公司将先现金支付未偿还债务本金，作为前期本金付款，另外99%的债务以新优先票据及新可换股债券替换。新工具的期限均为3.5年，新债券现金利息的年化利率为5%、实物利息的年化利率为6%，可换股债券利息则为3%。

同意债权人将根据重组支持协议条款，以现金形式收取重组支持协议费用，金额相当于重组支持协议费用截止期限所持有的合资格受限制债务本金总额的0.25%，这部分费用在重组生效日期或之前支付。

对于这笔境外债务，中梁控股召开过关于债务重组的计划会议，共有510名计划债权人出席并投票，其中509名债权人投票赞成重组计划，占投票债权总额的99.12%，持有的债权本金11.8亿美元，加上应计未付利息的总额为13.16亿美元。

公司方面表示，整体解决方案的实施将减轻境外债务压力，提供足够的财务灵活性，使集团能够更好地管理其业务运营。

克而瑞研报认为，债务重组本质还是辅助手段，无论是展期还是债转股，任何方式的重组都只能缓解短期内的燃眉之急。债务重组完成之后，中长期的“回血”自救才是关键。出险房企仍应以保交付为主要目标，积极营销、促进销售去化及现金回笼，修复基本盘，依靠销售回款提升自身“造血能力”，才能真正摆脱困境。

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